Authors: Hyun-Tak Kim
The government bill announced on September 4, 2024, is problematic because it violates both Article 34 of the Constitution (the right to live a humane life) and Article 102, Paragraph 2 of the National Pension Act (management and operation of funds), which states that "in order to ensure the long-term stability of the National Pension Fund, the returns of the fund must be maximized." If these violations are resolved, the people will accept the government bill. To address the violation of Article 34 of the Constitution, an "automatic pension benefit increase system" will be introduced. To address the violation of Article 102, Paragraph 2 of the National Pension Act, the term "maximum" will be replaced with a provision stating that "100% of the fund, managed by external fund managers selected through competitive bidding for the highest returns, shall be invested in and managed with stocks that grow steadily over the long term, with an average return of 23% per year or more (resulting in a 10-year compound interest of 693% or more)." This approach will maximize the compound interest effect, with an expected average annual return of 30% over 10 years. Supporting legislation should be enacted for such measures. Additionally, actual data for periods of less than 10 years can be compared to the 10-year average return of 27% for SMH (a U.S. semiconductor ETF), which has demonstrated returns of about 40% per year.[요약]2024년 9월 4일 발표된 정부 법안은 헌법 34조(인간다운 삶을 살 권리)와 국민연금법 102조 ②항(기금의 관리 및 운영)에 명시된 "국민연금 기금의 장기적 안정을 위해서는 기금의 수익을 최대화해야 한다"는 내용을 모두 위반해 문제가 제기된다. 이러한 위반 사항이 해결되면 국민이 정부법안을 받아들일 것이다. 헌법 34조 위반을 바로잡기 위해 "연금 급여 자동 증가 장치"를 입법한다. 국민연금법 102조 ②항 위반을 바로잡기 위해, 조항속에 있는 "최대"를 "최대 수익률 상위 경쟁입찰로 선발된 외부 펀드 매니저가 운용하고자 하는 기금의 100%를 장기적으로 꾸준히 성장하는 주식에 투자하고 운용하여 그 수익률 10년 평균 23%/년 이상 (10년 복리 693% 이상)"로 바꾸는 법률을 개정한다. 이 경우 복리효과 최대가 될 수 있고 10년 평균 30%/년 이상이 기대된다. 추가로, 약 40%/년 수익률은10년이 되지 않은 실제 데이터를 SMH(미국 반도체 etf)의 10년 평균 수익률 27%와 비교 추산하여 얻은 것으로 목표달성의 가능성의 실시예를 제공한다.
Comments: 5 Pages. 3 Figures; in Korean
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[v1] 2024-10-19 23:47:18
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