Social Science

    

Magnus Thane of Halton Progenitor Hypothesis: Assheton, Kirkby and Nettleton Families

Authors: Stuart J. Nettleton

This Research Note investigates Magnus Thane of Halton as the Progenitor of the Assheton, Kirkby and Nettleton Families. Recent Y-DNA evidence is evaluated. The hypothesis is assessed through five sub-hypotheses. Although the hypothesis has a high probability of 78%, at this stage the absence of direct Y-DNA evidence in two critical phases of the chain of causality and consequential methodological reliance on inference leads to a lower confidence in the progenitor hypothesis of 52%. In other words, the hypothesis would pass the balance of probabilities criterion used in civil cases but would not yet pass the criterion used in criminal cases of being beyond reasonable doubt.

Comments: 13 Pages.

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[v1] 2024-01-01 22:46:28
[v2] 2024-01-09 00:26:39

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