Physics of Biology

    

An End of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Sight?

Authors: Edward J Steele, Reginald M Gorczynski, Robert A Lindley, Gensuke Tokoro, Daryl H. Wallis, Robert Temple, N. Chandra Wickramasinghe

We have set out to assess the data on the intensity of the COVID-19 pandemic with a view to making plausible predictions of its decline. A plot of “ % COVID-19 Associated Death per Day” versus the timing and extent of the roll out of national vaccination campaigns in Sweden, Denmark, Netherlands, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy and USA shows that the decline in the severity of the COVID-19 pandemic was well advanced noticeably before vaccinations began or could have become a significant contributory factor. Israel is an outlier in its manifest decline pattern, yet the data also demonstrate that vaccination has had no discernible impact at all on % Deaths per Day in Israel.

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[v1] 2021-08-23 23:09:15

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