Quantitative Biology

    

New Prediction of Sars-Covid-19 in Italy

Authors: Calogero Rinzivillo, Sergio Conte, Ferda Kaleagasioglu, Fang Wang, Alberto Foletti, Cengiz Morderniz, Elio Conte

We estimate the contagions of Sars-Covid-19 in Italy until June 2020 and we compare the results with our previous estimations. We obtain that the fractal model we use, estimates the behavior of the experimental data and prediction with an r2 value of 0.95. We have that the time of peak is 37.80 days for the prediction 1 and 37.33 days for prediction 2 starting with February 20. The number of contagions will drop below 10 in June 28 for prediction 1 and July 14 for prediction 2 as explained in Figure 1.

Comments: 4 Pages.

Download: PDF

Submission history

[v1] 2020-04-24 14:59:59

Unique-IP document downloads: 239 times

Vixra.org is a pre-print repository rather than a journal. Articles hosted may not yet have been verified by peer-review and should be treated as preliminary. In particular, anything that appears to include financial or legal advice or proposed medical treatments should be treated with due caution. Vixra.org will not be responsible for any consequences of actions that result from any form of use of any documents on this website.

Add your own feedback and questions here:
You are equally welcome to be positive or negative about any paper but please be polite. If you are being critical you must mention at least one specific error, otherwise your comment will be deleted as unhelpful.

comments powered by Disqus